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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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market analysis
【XM Decision Analysis】--USD/JPY Analysis: 150 Level Separates Bears and Bulls
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--USD/JPY Analysis: 150 Level Separates Bears and Bulls". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- For four consecutive trading sessions, bulls have been attempting to push the USD/JPY currency pair above the 150.00 level.
- According to the daily chart performance, this level separates bear and bull control.
- Recently, bears have prevailed, with the USD/JPY pair falling to the support level of 148.56, its lowest in four months.
According to licensed trading companies' platforms, the USD/JPY price is stabilizing around 150.50 at the time of writing the analysis, awaiting reactions to the US jobs numbers this week, as well as the future of Trump's trade policies, which are unsettling markets.
US Dollar Temporarily Halts Gains
According to Forex market trading, the US dollar has halted its recent gains, largely driven by the Euro's strength, supported by renewed optimism about a potential resolution to the Ukraine war. The US dollar also retreated after US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently indicated that tariffs on Mexico and Canada are still "variable," suggesting they may be less than the proposed 25%. However, the US minister confirmed that the additional 10% tariff on China is "fixed."
Trading Tips:
We still recommend buying the US dollar against the Japanese yen from every downward level, but without risk and activating profit and stop loss orders to ensure the safety of the trading account from any sudden price reversals.
Japanese Stock Indices Rise Following US Stocks
During today’s trading session and across stock trading companies’ platforms, the Nikkei 225 index of Japanese stocks rose by 1.7% to close at 37,785 points, while the broader Topix index rose by 1.77% to 2,730 points, recovering from last week’s losses, and the Japanese market’s gains increased after the gains of US stock indices at the end of last week’s trading. Investors, however, remained cautious ahead of a March 4 deadline for US President Donald Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Geopolitical concerns also remained, with Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy failing to reach a deal on Friday that would end the war in Ukraine.
On the domestic front, the Japanese manufacturing PMI for February was revised slightly higher but still indicates contraction for the sixth consecutive month. Among the best-performing companies were Disco shares (up 2.2%), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries shares (up 6.7%), Mitsubishi UFJ shares (up 2.4%), IHI Corp shares (up 7.8%), and Toyota Motor shares (up 3.9%).
USD/JPY Technical analysis and Expectations Today:
According to recent trading, the USD/JPY pair has now risen to trade at levels slightly above the 100-hour moving average line. As a result, the currency pair is about to enter the overbought levels of the 14-hour Relative Strength Index. In the short term, bulls will seek to extend the current gains towards the resistance levels of 150.85 or higher to the resistance of 151.60. In contrast, the bears' closest targets will be a correction down towards the support levels of 149.90 and then to the support of 149.00, respectively.
In the long term, according to the performance on the daily chart, the USD/JPY pair is trading within a descending channel formation. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index has recently rebounded to avoid moving to oversold levels. Therefore, bulls will seek to extend the recent bounce gains to move towards the resistance levels of 152.30 and then to the resistance of 156.00 respectively. On the other hand, and in the same time frame, bears will have targets in case of selling operations to take profits to move towards the support levels of 148.00 and then to the support of 145.00 respectively.
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