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market analysis
【XM Market Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Will Gold Prices Rise Again?
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Will Gold Prices Rise Again?". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:
- General trend for gold: Upward.
- Today's gold support points: $3267 – $3200 – $3150 per ounce.
- Today's gold resistance points: $3366 – $3400 – $3480 per ounce.
Today's gold trading signals update:
- Sell gold from the resistance level of $3370, with a target of $3280 and a stop loss of $3400.
- Buy gold from the support level of $3210, with a target of $3400 and a stop loss of $3160.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:
We expect spot gold prices to rebound higher at the beginning of this week's trading amid ongoing tensions in Russia. Furthermore, gold prices began trading this week on an upward trajectory around the $3,306 resistance level and closed last week's trading around the $3,288 support level. According to performance across gold trading platforms, the gold price index fell by nearly 2 percent last week, as strong economic data undermined safe haven demand due to renewed trade war risks.
Trading Tips:
Dear TradersUp follower, we still recommend buying gold at any downward price level, constantly monitoring market factors, and avoiding risk, regardless of the strength of the trading opportunities.
On the economic front, new data showed that US personal income rose more than expected in April, while expenditures and prices increased in line with expectations. Overall, these results gave the Federal Reserve more room to maintain US interest rates for longer before resuming its monetary easing cycle, as policymakers indicated in various statements this week, which increased the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump indicated that China had violated the ongoing trade agreement with the United States, but he refrained from providing details. This increased expectations that the administration might attempt to re-escalate its trade war with the world's second-largest economy. This came shortly after the President succeeded in his appeal before a federal court, which lifted the ban on Trump's proposed reciprocal tariff package.
Technical Levels for Gold Prices Today:
Dear reader, as is clear on the daily timeframe chart and from today's gold analysts' forecasts, the overall upward trend will remain stronger with gold prices stabilizing above the $3300 per ounce resistance. With this performance, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is stable above the midline, supporting the upward shift. At the same time, the MACD indicator lines are in a neutral position with an upward bias. The future outlook for gold prices in the xmcnglobal.coming days will remain subject to investor sentiment regarding risk appetite (or lack thereof) due to global trade and geopolitical tensions, in addition to the announced figures for central bank gold bullion purchases. Accordingly, the strategy of buying gold on dips will remain the most important and strongest for some time.
Economic Data That Will Affect the Gold Market:
According to the economic calendar data, this week will feature several important economic releases. US jobs data for May will be the focus of the week, as investors look to see how tariffs might impact US jobs and what that could mean for interest rates, along with Institute for Supply Management (ISM) data on US manufacturing and services sector activity. The European Central Bank's decision will also be closely watched, with a widely expected interest rate cut. The Bank of Canada will also announce its latest monetary policy decisions, and it is expected to keep interest rates unchanged.
In Asia, the Reserve Bank of India will be in the spotlight with its awaited interest rate decision. Manufacturing PMI surveys and inflation data across the region will also be closely monitored.
Most importantly for the markets, the monthly US jobs data for May, which will be released next Friday, is crucial for investors in assessing the impact of US tariffs on the Labor market. Therefore, any signs of economic weakness could increase the chances of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates sooner rather than later. Overall, LSEG data suggests that US money markets are currently pricing in approximately two rate cuts this year, with the first cut not expected until October.
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