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【XM Decision Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Surpasses $2,700
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Surpasses $2,700". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- Despite gains in the US dollar, the gold price index moved higher, breaking through the resistance level of $2,700 per ounce and jumping to $2,704 per ounce, the highest price in two weeks, in early trading on Wednesday.
- This was before settling around the level of $2,692 per ounce at the time of writing this analysis.
- Geopolitical tensions have provided strong momentum for the yellow metal.
Previously, we expected that the movement of spot gold prices to the resistance levels of $2,666 and $2,680 would naturally drive prices to the psychological resistance of $2,700 per ounce, which is what happened. Meanwhile, gold market gains in 2024 have reached more than 30%.
Reasons for the rise in gold prices
According to gold trading company platforms, the gold/US dollar price index has risen amid a path of easing global central bank policies, coupled with increased demand for gold purchases to hedge against the risks of global geopolitical tensions, most notably the ongoing Russia/Ukraine war and the concerns in the Middle East. This week, all the focus of markets and investors will be on US inflation figures to anticipate the decisions of the US Federal Reserve next week. Such a move is expected to increase the attractiveness of gold by reducing the cost of holding non-yielding assets. At the same time, this week, the European, Swiss, and Canadian central banks will also cut interest rates.
Gold as a Historical Safe Haven
As is customary with increasing economic and political tensions around the world, interest in buying gold bullion to hedge against risks increases. Recently, the People's Bank of China has resumed gold purchases after a six-month halt on purchases amid record gold prices reaching a peak of $2,800 per ounce. On the other hand, the gold market is supported by continued rising tensions in the Middle East.
Dollar Price Stable Ahead of US Inflation Figures
According to forex trading, the US dollar index DXY, which measures the performance of the greenback against a basket of other major currencies, stabilized around 106.30 amid cautious anticipation by investors and markets for today’s US inflation figures, which will have an impact on future expectations for the US Federal Reserve’s policies. As is well known, a stronger-than-expected inflation reading could delay the Fed’s plans to cut borrowing costs, which could support the US dollar. However, financial markets are pricing in an 86% chance of a 25-basis point rate cut by the Fed later this month, although the outlook for 2025 remains highly uncertain.
Also, Forex traders are closely watching interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank this week, both of which are expected to implement further rate cuts.
Trading Tips:
Gold breaking the $2,700 per ounce mark will strengthen bulls' control and thus prepare for stronger gains if the US dollar weakens and global geopolitical tensions increase
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
Returning to the technical analysis of the gold price index, we expected that gold prices would return to the resistance of $2,700 per ounce if they stabilized above the resistance levels of $2,666 and $2,680 per ounce, which is what happened. Today's gold analysts' forecasts indicate that the gold price will remain upward and above $2,700 per ounce, supporting the bulls' strong control, and according to the performance on the daily chart above, the direction of the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index, and the MACD are upward and have not even reached oversold levels, which gives the bulls the opportunity to move higher if supportive factors are available. Currently, the closest resistance levels for gold prices are $2,725 and $2,755.
Finally, we still recommend buying gold from every downward level while taking into consideration not taking risks and activating profit limit and stop loss orders to ensure the safety of the trading account from any sudden price reversals.
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