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【XM Group】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Bearish Price Channel Approaches 4-Year Low
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Group】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Bearish Price Channel Approaches 4-Year Low". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
My previous signal last Thursday was not triggered as none of the key support or resistance levels were reached that day.
Today’s AUD/USD Signals
- Risk 0.75%
- Trades may only be entered before 5pm Tokyo time Friday.
Short Trade Ideas
- Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of $0.6192, $0.6207, or $0.6218.
- Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
- Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
- Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.
Long Trade Ideas
- Go long following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of $0.6166, $0.6126, or $0.6102.
- Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
- Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
- Remove 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
AUD/USD Analysis
I wrote in my previous AUD/USD forecast last Thursday that the AUD/USD currency pair was looking likely to fall further due to the strong long-term bearish trend in this currency pair and the reasons why the Aussie is weak, and the greenback is strong.
This was a good call overall as the price has continued to decline over the past week. However, I was looking for a short trade from $0.6300 and this did not set up.
The technical and fundamental situations are unchanged, with the US Dollar remaining strong within a long-term bullish trend, while the Australian Dollar continues to weaken, fuelled by higher-than-expected Australian CPI (inflation) data released yesterday which ticked higher to an annualized rate of 2.3%, and poor sales data released earlier today.
The price has fallen close to a 4-year low price, which will be reached if the price goes lower than $0.6170. Trading below that level would be very significant “blue sky” and could trigger a drop to as low as the big round number at $0.6000.
The price chart below shows a long-term linear regression analysis applied to the price action, exhibiting a strong and quite steep bearish trend which respects the 2 standard deviations boundary of this indicator.
All signs point towards a continuing fall here but was out for potential support at $0.6170.
I will be happy to enter a new short trade following a bearish rejection of $0.6192.
There is nothing of high importance due today concerning either the AUD or the USD.
The above content is all about "【XM Group】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Bearish Price Channel Approaches 4-Year Low", which is carefully compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!
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