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【XM Market Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Anticipating Profit-Taking Amidst Record Highs
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Anticipating Profit-Taking Amidst Record Highs". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- The strong upward trend in gold prices has reached a peak of $2,882 per ounce, the highest in the history of gold prices, before settling around $2,850 per ounce at the time of writing this analysis.
- The recent sharp and continuous gains in gold have been driven by increasing expectations of lower interest rates, increasing the attractiveness of the yellow metal as a haven amidst economic and geopolitical risks.
- On the economic front, data yesterday showed weaker-than-expected demand for US services, suggesting that economic activity may slow in the coming months.
This has prompted investors to position for a cut in US interest rates by the Federal Reserve twice this year, in line with the latest projections from the Federal Open Market Committee. Additionally, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada have cut interest rates, with the latter also ending quantitative tightening, while the Reserve Bank of India and the Bank of England are expected to implement interest rate cuts this week.
Will gold prices rise further in the coming days?
According to recent trades on gold trading platforms, gold prices have risen as the metal's attractiveness as a safe haven has strengthened after Trump suggested that the United States might take control of Gaza and expressed interest in a new nuclear deal with Iran. This, coupled with concerns about global economic growth due to the potential implications of the US-China trade war, has further supported gold prices. The continuation of these factors could eventually push gold prices to the $3,000 per ounce peak, which experts have predicted for gold prices in 2025.
Trading Tips:
As we always advise, make gold one of the most important components of your investment portfolio, as it is in a strong and permanent upward trend, and buying at its lowest prices is better, but without risk.
The US dollar price has been declining for four consecutive days
According to Forex market trading. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the greenback against a basket of major currencies, fell to the 107.5 support level before quickly recovering to 108.00 at the time of writing. Meanwhile, the US dollar sell-off has continued for four consecutive trading sessions.
The US dollar’s losses deepened as concerns over a global trade war eased following cautious tariff measures from the US and China. US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are also expected to discuss trade developments in a phone call, further reducing the risk of rising inflation. This shift in sentiment has led financial markets to maintain expectations of two US interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. Traders have generally priced in a 25-basis point cut in July, with another quarter point cut expected before the end of the year.
On the economic side, according to the results of the economic diary data, the data revealed that the US economy added more than 180,000 jobs in the private sector in January, exceeding expectations of 150,000 jobs, indicating resilience despite the ongoing economic uncertainty. While the dollar weakened against most currencies, it continued to decline against the yen, driven in part by hawkish comments from Bank of Japan officials.
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
As we always expect and as gold analysts expect today, the general trend of gold prices is still upward. With the break of the resistance of $ 2,800 per ounce, we indicated that there may be technical buying operations and thus a rush towards stronger peaks, which is what actually happened, and the aversion to risk amid the uncertainty that prevailed in the markets was a positive factor for the strength of bulls' control. Keep in mind that recent gains have moved technical indicators towards strong buying saturation levels, and do not be surprised by strong profit-taking sales at any time. This may happen with the strength of the US dollar and the return of investors' appetite for risk.
Performance will remain bullish until the US jobs figures are announced at the end of the week, which in turn will affect the future of the US Federal Reserve's policies. Also, in addition to investor sentiment regarding risk appetite or not due to the trade wars led by the new US administration.
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