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【XM Market Analysis】--GBP/USD Forecast: Drops Against USD
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--GBP/USD Forecast: Drops Against USD". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- The British pound has fallen pretty significantly against the US dollar on Friday, as we are now testing the 1.29 level.
- I think at this point in time, if we break down below 1.2850, then we could see a little bit deeper correction.
- This does make a certain amount of sense because the dollar had been sold off so viciously that it was either going to zero or we were going to see a little bit of stability reenter the market.
The size of that candlestick is ugly, but it is worth noting that the euro has had three negative days in a row, whereas the British pound has only had two. It's worth noting that the 50-day EMA is turning around to break above the 200-day EMA, kicking off the so-called Golden Cross. So longer term, people will be looking at this through the prism of perhaps buying and holding. But I think this is a sxmcnglobal.comcenario that you need to watch a little closer, because quite frankly, we just had the Monetary Policy Committee release its voting record, and there was only one of them calling for a rate cut instead of the expected two.
MPC Slightly More Hawkish
That was a little bit more hawkish than anticipated, and we have fallen since then. Whether or not we actually truly break down below the support at 1.2850 remains to be seen. But as goes the euro, will this pair go as well? From what I see, this is a dollar-wide move across the forex markets. There's also the possibility that we turn around and bounce.
And if we do, then we're in a situation where I think we're just working off some of this froth. It's clear to me that the 1.30 level is an area that is going to continue to be difficult to break above, but if and when we do, that would be a very positive sign. It would probably mean that the British pound goes looking to the 1.35 level. Regardless, a breakdown from here probably would challenge the 1.2750 level, which at that point in time would probably be right around the same place the moving averages are.
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