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【XM Market Review】--EUR/USD Analysis: Slips Toward Key 1.0800 Support
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Review】--EUR/USD Analysis: Slips Toward Key 1.0800 Support". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- For three consecutive trading sessions, the EUR/USD currency pair has been experiencing selloffs with losses down to the 1.0796 support level, abandoning the upward rebound gains of the past week.
- This reached the 1.0955 resistance level, the highest for the pair in five months.
- Meanwhile, the EUR/USD pair will start the new week's trading stable around the 1.0812 level.
- Therefore, the Euro's gains have evaporated following the announcement of fiscal stimulus for the largest economy in the Eurozone.
Euro Performance Seeks Stimulus
According to Forex currency market trading, the Euro price has fluctuated against most major currencies, declining against many of them, but remaining calm elsewhere, despite cautious trading conditions. Regardless of the Euro's safe-haven status and some positive comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde, the single currency has struggled to attract new buy orders. This is primarily due to the rise in the US dollar (USD), which has limited the Euro's gains due to its negative correlation.
Will Tariffs Support the US Dollar's Strength?
According to Citibank's currency market analysis team, the US dollar will benefit from a series of tariff measures scheduled to be announced on April 2. The announcement of reciprocal tariffs will be the largest during Donald Trump's second term, with analysts expecting significant ramifications for global financial markets. Accordingly, the analysts stated, "We maintain our expectations for a US dollar rebound in the second quarter. The risks of tariffs appear understated, and we expect a correction in the US dollar's depreciation with a hawkish announcement on April 2."
This indicates that Citibank sees tariffs as positive for the US dollar, representing a deviation from recent price action that suggests otherwise. The implementation of tariffs in early March on Canadian and Mexican imports, as well as global steel and aluminium imports, led to weakness in US stock markets and the US dollar.
Decisively, the weakness of the US dollar has upended the assumption that tariffs support the dollar.
However, Citigroup believes the original plan remains valid, and that tariffs will support the US dollar.
Trading Tips:
Keep in mind, as we have often advised before, that the EUR/USD gains are prone to evaporate quickly, which has happened recently, and this strategy still stands. Obviously, this week's trading may be quiet most of the time.
US Stocks Under Pressure from Trump's Policies
According to recent trading and across stock trading platforms, US stock indices have been in steady decline for weeks due to uncertainty about the direction of the US economy. The trade war between the United States and its major trading partners threatens to exacerbate inflation and harm consumers and businesses alike. At the same time, US inflation remains consistently above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, and tariffs could hinder the US central bank's efforts to reduce inflation.
On the US tariff front, US President Donald Trump has set an April 2 deadline to impose further tariffs on trading partners. This comes on the heels of a series of other tariff deadlines that have been postponed, sometimes at the last minute.
Accordingly, companies have warned investors about tariffs, inflation, and growing uncertainty about their impact on costs.
On the monetary policy front, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its final meeting last week as it assessed the potential impact of tariffs and other shifts in US policy. The Fed had cut interest rates until the end of last year amid persistently low inflation, but has maintained them until 2025. Lower interest rates can support the economy, but they could also push inflation higher.
For his part, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that the US economy remains strong but stressed that uncertainty makes forecasting difficult.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis Today:
Dear reader, according to the daily chart performance, if the bears succeed in moving the EUR/USD price below the 1.0800 psychological support level, the chances of a strhttps://xmcnglobal.comong downward move towards lower levels will increase. The closest levels thereafter are 1.0760, 1.0690, and 1.0600, respectively. From the last level, the technical indicators will move towards strong oversold levels, led by the RSI and MACD. Conversely, and on the same time frame, the 1.1000 psychological resistance will remain the most important to confirm the upward reversal of the EUR/USD trend.
The above content is all about "【XM Market Review】--EUR/USD Analysis: Slips Toward Key 1.0800 Support", which is carefully compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!
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