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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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market analysis
【XM Forex】--EUR/USD Analysis: Upward Rebound Gains May Remain Weak
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--EUR/USD Analysis: Upward Rebound Gains May Remain Weak". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- As we predicted earlier, the Euro will remain weak as long as economic and political tensions in the largest economies of the Eurozone persist and increase.
- As a result, investor appetite for the Euro has weakened. For two consecutive days, the EUR/USD currency pair has attempted to rebound upward, but its gains have not exceeded the level of 1.0544 before settling around 1.0515 at the time of writing this analysis.
Will the Euro continue to decline?
Dear reader, we previously mentioned that the Euro's price in the Forex market may remain weak for a longer period due to several factors. Furthermore, the most prominent of which is the widening scope of political and economic concerns in the largest economies in the Eurozone - Germany and France - coinciding with the European Central Bank's adherence to its easy monetary policy, in addition to the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Also, the latest threat of Trump's trade wars, which could directly or indirectly affect the Eurozone economy.
The French Political Situation is Unstable
According to reliable trading platforms, the Euro has recently been under selling pressure against other major currencies ahead of the vote of no confidence in French Prime Minister Michel Barnier. Moreover, this move comes after Barnier used a constitutional clause to impose his budget, which aims to reform France's finances. Therefore, if Barnier loses, he will resign to French President Emmanuel Macron, heralding a new period of political uncertainty in Europe's second-largest economy.
On the other hand, if Barnier wins, somehow, the euro exchange rate will recover. In general, without fiscal austerity, French debt will continue to rise and is expected to reach 7% of GDP next year, which is much higher than what the European Union allows. At the same time, eurozone countries enjoy the advantage that the powerful European Central Bank will always act as a backstop to ensure the uncontrolled deterioration of any given country’s debt.
Trading Tips:
Dear TradersUp follower, we recommend selling the Euro/US Dollar EUR/USD from every upward bounce, as the stronger downward pressure factors and Trump's policy in the coming years - the stronger US dollar - and the US trade wars will strain the Eurozone economy as well as the single European currency.
European Stock Indices Continue to Recover
According to stock trading companies' platforms, for five consecutive trading sessions, European stock market indices are rising, led by German stocks, which recorded a new record level. According to trading, the Stoxx Europe 600 index rose by 0.4% at the close. In the same performance, the DAX index for German stocks rose by 1.1% after breaching the 20,000-point level in the previous trading session. Also, the performance of the FTSE 100 index for British stocks, which relies heavily on exports, was weak with the rise of the pound sterling against the dollar.
Despite the gains, European stock markets were late in rising compared to the US stock markets, which recorded record numbers in September, as concerns about potential US tariffs, a weak European economy, and geopolitical tensions represented by the Russian/Ukrainian war and Middle East wars continued. Political concerns in both Germany and France seem to be clearly affecting investor sentiment.
EUR/USD Analysis Today:
Dear reader, the overall trend of the EUR/USD currency pair remains downward. As we mentioned before, the stability of the price around and below the support level of 1.0500 supports the strong control of the bears and. Consequently, the readiness for stronger losses if US jobs data comes in stronger than all expectations and political tension within the Eurozone increases.
As we mentioned before, expectations for the future parity of the EUR/USD exchange pair will increase if the bears succeed in moving first towards the support levels of 1.0455 and 1.0365. Conversely, and over the same time period, the daily chart will show a breach of the downward trend if the bulls succeed in moving towards the resistance levels of 1.0675 and 1.0885 again. Until now, we recommend selling the EUR/USD from every upward level.
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