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market analysis
【XM Decision Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Reaching its All-Time High
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Reaching its All-Time High". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- The fear of the consequences of Trump's aggressive policies continues to drive spot gold prices towards historic record levels on a daily basis.
- According to current trades, the price of an ounce of gold has risen to a level of $2,862, the highest in the history of gold prices, and is stable around it at the time of writing this analysis.
- As mentioned before, investors will not mind the movement of technical indicators towards oversold levels, as in the Relative Strength Index and the MACD, as much as they care about the factors driving gold gains, which are increasing, which encourages bulls to move prices to new historical peaks.
- Accelerating the pace of movement towards the historical resistance of $3,000 per ounce, which was expected before Trump took over the US administration.
Will the price of gold rise further?
According to gold market trades and through gold trading platform data, prices have risen to record highs as investors continue to seek safe havens, and gold is one of the most important, amid growing fears that the US-China trade war may ultimately lead to a slowdown in global economic growth. In the latest developments, US President Trump has postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada but has continued to impose a 10% tax on all imports from China this week, prompting Beijing to announce retaliatory tariffs on US energy goods, which are scheduled to take effect next week.
In addition to the uncertainty, Trump has suggested that the United States take control of the Gaza Strip and oversee its reconstruction. At the same time, interest rate futures have continued to indicate market expectations of two US interest rate cuts this year, in contrast to the widespread consensus last month that no cuts would be made. These expectations were reinforced by the lower-than-expected US job vacancies in the latest JOLTS report and a sharp decline in factory orders to a six-month low.
The decline in the US dollar supports gold strength
According to forex market trades, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of major currencies, has declined to 107.65 on Wednesday, giving up the psychological 110.00 level that bulls tried to move towards immediately after Trump officially approved tariffs on global economies starting with Canada and Mexico. What followed was a countermeasure that caused a setback for the US dollar, which was ultimately positive for gold prices.
Earlier this week, Trump agreed to postpone the planned US tariffs of 25% on Mexico and Canada after successful negotiations. However, the 10% tariffs on China went into effect on Tuesday, prompting Beijing to respond by imposing its own tariffs on US imports, although the response was relatively moderate. Trump and Xi Jinping are also expected to discuss the situation in an upcoming phone call, raising hopes that further escalation will be avoided and that the tariffs may eventually be reversed.
At the same time, expectations of US interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve remain highly uncertain, with the development of trade policies continuing.
Stability of US bond yields
Among the factors affecting the gold market are US bond yields. According to recent trades, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond has remained relatively stable at around 4.51%, hovering near a seven-week low as traders await more clarity on US trade policy. Furthermore, demand for Treasury bonds as a safe haven has declined somewhat after Trump recently agreed to postpone the planned 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada following successful negotiations. However, 10% tariffs on Chinese goods came into effect yesterday, prompting Beijing to retaliate by imposing its own tariffs on US imports, although the response was relatively moderate.
Trading Tips:
Gold may remain in an upward trend as long as the factors for its gains listed in the article are in place. However, we do not always recommend buying from record highs.
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
In general, the gold market has seen strong gains since the beginning of 2025 and continues to attract strong safe-haven flows. Technically, the gold price index has seen higher volatility in recent weeks as it has been caught between the Federal Reserve's increasingly hawkish monetary policy stance and growing geopolitical and economic instability. Recently, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the US central bank is not in a hurry to raise interest rates as inflation risks begin to rise and the labour market remains healthy.
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